President Muhammadu Buhari presented the 2023 Budget proposal (“the Budget”) to the Joint Session of the National Assembly on 7 October 2022. The Budget tagged “Budget of Fiscal Sustainability and Transition'' is designed to achieve the National Development Plan 2021 to 2025 and assist with the smooth transition from one administration to another.
Some highlights
- The budget expenditure of N20.51trn represents the highest in Nigeria’s history, and is to be (partly) funded by expected revenue of N9.73 trn. The country’s highest recorded deficit of N10.78trn (4.78% of estimated GDP) is to be financed by new borrowings, privatisation proceeds and drawdown on loans already secured for specific projects.
- The budget deficit exceeds the expected revenue of N9.73 trn by about 11%. Put in perspective, Nigeria needs to generate an additional 111% of its current revenue (i.e. more than double its revenue) to be able to meet its expenditure needs without borrowings.
- The non-debt recurrent expenditure (NDRE) of N8.27trn remains the largest expense in the budget (about 40%), and is 16% higher than the 2022 revised budget of N7.11trn. It includes personnel cost of N4.99trn, which accounts for 60.33% of NDRE.
Nigeria faces numerous challenges ranging from global headwinds such as high interest rates, supply chain disruptions, rising energy and food prices, to local challenges such as insecurity, rising debt, high inflation, low crude oil production and crude oil theft, labour issues and flooding.
Low revenue mobilisation typically translates to high borrowings, implying increased debt service costs. In 2023, the debt service cost of about N6trn, represents about 31% of the Budget. This underscores the need for urgent action to address revenue underperformance and expenditure efficiency. Concerted efforts are required to also improve the policy environment and address insecurity in order to boost domestic investment and attract foreign direct investment.
Please see our Tax Alert below:
Download PwC Tax Alert - Budget of Fiscal Sustainability and Transition
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