A medium-term economic plan, the NDP, has been launched. The Plan succeeds the Vision 20:2020 introduced in 2009 and the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) introduced in 2017 both of which expired in 2020. The NDP is also a bridge for the country’s long-term plan currently being developed, that is, Nigeria Agenda 2050.
The vision as stated in the NDP is “to make Nigeria a country that has unlocked its potential in all sectors of the economy for a sustainable, holistic, and inclusive national development”.
The 6 broad objectives of the Plan are:
1. Economic diversification
2. Investment in infrastructure
3. Security and good governance
4. Educated and healthy population
5. Poverty alleviation, and
6. Economic and social development across states
The Plan is structured around 7 cluster areas:
1. Economic Growth and Development
2. Infrastructure
3. Public Administration
4. Human Capital Development
5. Social Development
6. Regional Development
7. Plan Implementation
Funding: The NDP has a funding target of N348.1 trillion (Government N49.7 trillion; Private sector N298.3 trillion) and is expected to generate 21 million full-time jobs and lift 35 million people out of poverty by 2025.
Fiscal plan: The FGN is expected to run an average budget deficit of -1.68% of GDP over the plan period albeit with a budget surplus of 1.35% of GDP in 2025. An average of 30% of aggregate expenditure will be allocated to capital expenditure while public debt to GDP ratio is expected to decline from about 22% in 2021 to 14% in 2025. It is projected that revenue to GDP ratio will improve progressively from less than 8% in 2021 to about 15% in 2025. FGN's total revenue will be made up of 57% from independent and other sources while only 10% is expected from oil and 33% from non-oil sources by 2025.
Historically Nigeria has under-performed relative to both its aspirations and economic potential. This plan has a structure to drive implementation which should hopefully make a difference.
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